After opting out of the last year of his contract, Gilbert told Ivan Carter that there’s a “75 percent chance” that he’ll be back next season.  Of course, promises with a higher percentage of certainty have fallen through, so it’s important to get a feel for what 75% odds are like.

With that in mind, here’s some examples of things with a 75% chance of happening:

1. Baron Davis hitting a free throw (this season at least).
2. The next American you meet is a book reader.
3. The higher seed will win the NBA Finals under the current 2-3-2 format.
4. A school budget being approved.
5. That you’ll be overweight in 2015.
6. The red snapper you just bought isn’t really red snapper.

Now that you know the odds, here’s to hoping for mislabeled seafood Gilbert’s return next year!